Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 158.232370 185.526329 218.167637 260.694116 315.571717 3.853607e+02 4.831430e+02
2025-02-23 122.497152 155.186135 198.968871 264.106048 362.784704 5.147700e+02 7.857791e+02
2025-03-02 104.396253 138.956801 188.825849 270.217066 409.262667 6.597562e+02 1.217646e+03
2025-03-09 91.701537 126.573308 179.782955 273.158880 449.351206 8.143136e+02 1.828894e+03
2025-03-16 80.383415 113.845882 167.002626 265.461078 466.179936 9.329263e+02 2.524960e+03
2025-03-23 74.868536 108.998351 165.636375 277.068326 525.644709 1.192926e+03 4.225792e+03
2025-03-30 66.952915 99.076694 153.798347 265.522187 529.454558 1.310094e+03 5.731658e+03
2025-04-06 62.378595 94.064601 149.714229 268.461323 569.481357 1.579337e+03 9.514151e+03
2025-04-13 57.971828 88.771224 144.238263 267.061608 598.032681 1.844699e+03 1.582902e+04
2025-04-20 56.045218 87.550524 146.189936 282.658232 683.035603 2.475866e+03 4.222526e+04
2025-04-27 55.237018 88.202129 151.851537 308.648045 817.966510 3.683783e+03 2.777058e+05
2025-05-04 51.936641 83.865819 146.691779 306.166985 853.886756 4.387542e+03 1.976892e+06
2025-05-11 49.110832 80.503746 143.875444 311.515336 934.855299 5.906319e+03 NaN
2025-05-18 46.410905 77.157825 140.746489 315.801959 1020.737134 8.150030e+03 NaN
2025-05-25 44.251120 74.617144 138.979459 323.631136 1133.959824 1.209514e+04 NaN
2025-06-01 42.073172 71.797087 136.127199 327.406845 1234.496955 1.783478e+04 NaN
2025-06-08 39.366434 67.636558 129.556294 317.535487 1251.356376 2.221275e+04 NaN
2025-06-15 38.225515 66.603657 130.321912 332.430700 1443.800564 4.377261e+04 NaN
2025-06-22 35.739082 62.519412 123.077271 317.613742 1420.320817 5.203652e+04 NaN
2025-06-29 34.342136 60.641488 121.117180 321.379595 1544.422791 9.772797e+04 NaN
2025-07-06 32.820205 58.367429 117.869339 319.585664 1627.089590 1.791623e+05 NaN
2025-07-13 32.296104 58.216644 120.083537 339.626242 1946.031754 1.302017e+06 NaN
2025-07-20 32.224259 59.054925 125.060055 373.266150 2514.703498 NaN NaN